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May 17th, 2021, 09:32 AM
#41

Originally Posted by
werner.reiche
If the number of hunters was about the same over time, that should give about 1 in 18 odds - so 18 points should have got a tag.
Not necessarily. It depends on the number of hunters applying. If there are a large group of hunters with enough points, there may be a random draw scenario, between that group of hunters. Next year, the stats will be available to indicate how many points were needed to be successful in each WMU, and each animal.
Last edited by rick_iles; May 17th, 2021 at 09:35 AM.
“If you’re not a Liberal by twenty, you have no heart. If you’re not a Conservative by forty, you have no brain.”
-Winston Churchill
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May 17th, 2021 09:32 AM
# ADS
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May 17th, 2021, 10:10 AM
#42

Originally Posted by
rick_iles
Not necessarily. It depends on the number of hunters applying. If there are a large group of hunters with enough points, there may be a random draw scenario, between that group of hunters. Next year, the stats will be available to indicate how many points were needed to be successful in each WMU, and each animal.
That's why I qualified it with "if the number of hunters was about the same...".
And even next year - the stats from this year *may* not hold if the number of hunters applying changes. This will always be a variable to the nit-pickers.
But I suspect they will remain fairly constant and not be an issue.
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May 17th, 2021, 10:21 AM
#43
Wow and you still didn't get a take with 15 points.
I didn't bother

Originally Posted by
mr meat
15 points in 48 for the gun hunt no tag
"This is about unenforceable registration of weapons that violates the rights of people to own firearms."—Premier Ralph Klein (Alberta)Calgary Herald, 1998 October 9 (November 1, 1942 – March 29, 2013) OFAH Member
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May 17th, 2021, 10:27 AM
#44

Originally Posted by
rick_iles
Not necessarily. It depends on the number of hunters applying. If there are a large group of hunters with enough points, there may be a random draw scenario, between that group of hunters. Next year, the stats will be available to indicate how many points were needed to be successful in each WMU, and each animal.
And next year could be just as screwy once guys see the stats and where their chances of getting a tag may increase, creating a surge in the number of applicants in the draw to certain WMU's. But eventually it should straighten itself out.
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May 17th, 2021, 12:04 PM
#45

Originally Posted by
cantgetright
And next year could be just as screwy once guys see the stats and where their chances of getting a tag may increase, creating a surge in the number of applicants in the draw to certain WMU's. But eventually it should straighten itself out.
I dont think you will see alot of shifting. Statistically nothing has changed from before. They guy who hunts wmu 48 is not going to shift to wmu 4 where he will get a tag. Like Werner spelled out you can estimate what it will take, there will always be variables but with a little homework and the data they will provide next year you will see the predictability.
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May 17th, 2021, 04:43 PM
#46
bull tag 57 archery 14 points
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May 17th, 2021, 05:14 PM
#47

Originally Posted by
gunter
bull tag 57 archery 14 points
Congrats, but one tag every 14 years? Sad, unless you go with a large enough group that you can rotate who claims a tag each year.
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May 17th, 2021, 06:39 PM
#48
Can the group combine their points to improve the odds or is that not allowed
"Everything is easy when you know how"
"Meat is not grown in stores"
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May 17th, 2021, 06:57 PM
#49
From what I understand from the new points system is that it is all individual applications. No combinations allowed.
Great suggestion though. Would that not be great!
Lets see.... 4 hunters for 1 moose in Quebec. What a great idea as well! (sarcasm)
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May 17th, 2021, 07:49 PM
#50

Originally Posted by
Ahuntr300
Congrats, but one tag every 14 years? Sad, unless you go with a large enough group that you can rotate who claims a tag each year.
Max group size 10 hunters i think