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Thread: Trent-Severn asleep at the wheel?

  1. #1
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    Default Trent-Severn asleep at the wheel?

    Things are looking pretty grim this spring with water levels along the Trent Severn System. Next to no snowpack up in north Haliburton County, and the southern dams have let too much water go early. In 45 years I've seen the system in this state. Gull River in Minden is basically dry. Same with the Drag in Haliburton. Cameron, Pigeon, Sturgeon Lakes are a good 4-5feet down with huge areas of the littoral zone high and dry. I wonder what condition the headwater reservoir lakes are in eg. Haliburton, Percy, Big Hawk, Halls, etc. Spawning rubble high and dry below the Bobcaygeon dam. Nearshore marsh areas on the lakes I've checked are next to dry. I can predict zero muskie spawn and next to no walleye spawn. Could be a nasty year for navigation coming. Will be a bad year for the farmers as well. There's no ground moisture here. Even the spring vernal pools are absent. It's going to affect everything from hay production to cash cropping. It's already looking like drought conditions in south City of Kawartha Lakes . Places like Manvers Twp. south (eg. Pontypool area) with the super sandy loam soil might be SOL. Sounds like we're not alone. Manitoba is bone dry as well. Forest fires should be ready to roll already.

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  3. #2
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    WOW! Environment Canada is saying that Canada's April to late June temperatures this year will be 70% above normal historical levels. You'll be turkey hunting in a Speedo this year. Bumper crop of ticks and flies or the turkey and bear hunters!

  4. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fenelon View Post
    WOW! Environment Canada is saying that Canada's April to late June temperatures this year will be 70% above normal historical levels. You'll be turkey hunting in a Speedo this year. Bumper crop of ticks and flies or the turkey and bear hunters!
    You've misread the forecast. 70% above June normals would be about 42C. Not happening. I just checked their map and it looks like it is a 70% that it will be above normal. Not a big deal when you consider that without any forecasting, there is a 50% chance it will be above normal. There is also a 50% chance it could be below normal.

    Seasonal forecasts for Canada

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    I have ZERO confidence in weather forecasts or forecasters in general or anyone else that has a job where they can be wrong 90% of the time and not get fired. The most accurate weather forecast I've ever heard was "dark tonight,light tomorrow".
    Society needs to stop bending to the will of the delusional.

  6. #5
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    Weather forecasters are akin to politicians, just underpaid but still fulll of donkey butt air.

  7. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by trimmer21 View Post
    I have ZERO confidence in weather forecasts or forecasters in general or anyone else that has a job where they can be wrong 90% of the time and not get fired. The most accurate weather forecast I've ever heard was "dark tonight,light tomorrow".
    While 4-5 day forecasts are not too bad, over the last 40 years, there's been little improvement on the 7 day forecast - which seems strange given the advances in technology. Seasonal forecasts - the 3 to 6 months - are just a waste of time - not a lot better than the farmers almanac. And then someone comes up with a forecast for 25 years in the future if we don't all switch to EVs...

  8. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by werner.reiche View Post
    You've misread the forecast. 70% above June normals would be about 42C. Not happening. I just checked their map and it looks like it is a 70% that it will be above normal. Not a big deal when you consider that without any forecasting, there is a 50% chance it will be above normal. There is also a 50% chance it could be below normal.

    Seasonal forecasts for Canada
    Thanks Werner for the correction. Looks like I’ll be sending my Amazon Prime Speedo back.

  9. #8
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    Irondale/Burnt system being very nice to those of us that need to worry every spring. My sump pumps have not even lit up yet!
    Drier than a popcorn fart around here.

  10. #9
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    Lots of water going through now in Bobcaygeon and Lindsay.

  11. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by werner.reiche View Post
    You've misread the forecast. 70% above June normals would be about 42C. Not happening. I just checked their map and it looks like it is a 70% that it will be above normal. Not a big deal when you consider that without any forecasting, there is a 50% chance it will be above normal. There is also a 50% chance it could be below normal.

    Seasonal forecasts for Canada
    Ha-another beauty of being the Weatherman.
    50 % chance for yes,50% for no.Really-like everything else.
    Either it will happen,or not.

    Wow,if i would be young -i would wanted THAT job.Never could go wrong

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