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December 22nd, 2021, 08:53 AM
#11

Originally Posted by
blasted_saber
Answer the questions as asked.
Don't overthink things.
They don't give a rats behind what your actual answer is, they're looking for trends in the unit (more deer/less deer then years previous)
If they are looking for trends they need to ask some sensible questions that make sense.
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December 22nd, 2021 08:53 AM
# ADS
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December 22nd, 2021, 12:39 PM
#12

Originally Posted by
blasted_saber
Answer the questions as asked.
Don't overthink things.
They don't give a rats behind what your actual answer is, they're looking for trends in the unit (more deer/less deer then years previous)
X2-they probably work with inherent bias, repeated every year.
Should work similarly ,if they do not change the measurement system.
That is another question-how accurate it is ever-but hey, that is a different story.
We have bigger worries with moose management,or lack of it-but that is neither in,nor out.
Nothing we will change.
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December 22nd, 2021, 02:25 PM
#13

Originally Posted by
Chris915
It is pretty simple. Just report the number of deer you see each time out. Don't try to game the system by adjusting for "hidden" fawns, or adjusting for seeing the same deer five times in the last five days or trail cam pics or inflating numbers if you are worried about losing future tags. All you have to do is is report the raw number. By doing that you take a constant approach each season and then the MNR has valuable data to look at long term year over year trends. As soon as you try to outsmart this very simple process it mucks everything up since the interpretation of the data is based on the assumption that hunters are just reporting what they see each day.
EXACTLY. They aren't trying to get an actual population size or density. All the report indicates is the change in population size. If hunters report what they actually see each year, the MNR will get some idea as to whether or not deer numbers are up or down in a certain area.
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December 23rd, 2021, 08:23 AM
#14

Originally Posted by
Gilroy
If they are looking for trends they need to ask some sensible questions that make sense.
thats exactly what they are doing. Asking the same question they always have. If people start reporting trail camera photos as a live deer they have seen, how would that compare to prior to people having trail cameras.
I might have bought 10 trail cameras last year for the first time. Presumably I could report 10 times more deer than the year prior but I'm pretty sure the population didn't change that much.
This comes up every year, and people constantly overthink a simple question. How many days did you hunt, and how many "Live" deer did you see.
Next we will get the questions from guys who hunt morning and evening compared to an all day hunt.
Its a known statistical process to look at long term trends. Just answer the simple questions, there are no tricks going on here
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December 23rd, 2021, 09:35 AM
#15
They used to ask how many hours and days you hunted. Guess days hunted are good enough now.
I saw 21 deer as a dogger in the December controlled hunt. Never seen that many ever.
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December 23rd, 2021, 09:59 AM
#16

Originally Posted by
cramadog2
I saw 21 deer as a dogger in the December controlled hunt. Never seen that many ever.
To my earlier post...Doggers always see more deer than the average group hunter who takes the stand at the far end of the run and never sees anything.
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December 23rd, 2021, 11:22 AM
#17
One field near the camp harboured several deer e.g. 15+. Other fields had 0. Had we only hunted the field with lots of deer then our sightings would be impressive but could skew the data.
A true sportsman counts his achievements in proportion to the effort involved and the fairness of the sport. - S. Pope
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December 23rd, 2021, 12:05 PM
#18

Originally Posted by
Sam Menard
One field near the camp harboured several deer e.g. 15+. Other fields had 0. Had we only hunted the field with lots of deer then our sightings would be impressive but could skew the data.
Your report gets mixed with every other hunters and it evens out in the melting pot.
Again, they don't care about the actual number. It's a trend of up vs down of years previous
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December 23rd, 2021, 12:25 PM
#19

Originally Posted by
FishHog
thats exactly what they are doing. Asking the same question they always have. If people start reporting trail camera photos as a live deer they have seen, how would that compare to prior to people having trail cameras.
I might have bought 10 trail cameras last year for the first time. Presumably I could report 10 times more deer than the year prior but I'm pretty sure the population didn't change that much.
This comes up every year, and people constantly overthink a simple question. How many days did you hunt, and how many "Live" deer did you see.
Next we will get the questions from guys who hunt morning and evening compared to an all day hunt.
Its a known statistical process to look at long term trends. Just answer the simple questions, there are no tricks going on here
Well I never suggested there were any tricks going on, I merely said the questions are outdated and make very little sense if your trying to get an accurate count of trends in population.
These questions have been on the books for probably about a decade now and for instance before wide spread use of trail cameras. So lets take a simple example, I hunt my front field and know I have a mature doe with a fawn. I see them every day for 5 days, have I seen 10 deer or two deer?
In the meantime in the back 40 where I have a feeder, I have a spike horn, a 4 pointer, 6 pointer and 8 pointer, all coming into the feeder.
I exclude them as I have not see them. How does this make any sense.
The question that I believe should be asked is "how many uniquely identifiable deer did you see". This should include the trail camera images.
So a more accurate answer to the question is that I saw Six deer in total but my answer as it stands could be two deer if I decide not to multiply all the times I saw the doe and fawn in person. If I give them the daily sightings of the doe and fawn I am up to ten deer.
In the old days when the MNR and volunteers put out winter feed, they could get a accurate idea of the population. They don't do that now.
In the old days they did fly over counts and counts in the deer yards, they don't do that now.
They could get some better ideas of population by simply dropping into local meat processors and asking what they took in for harvest numbers, I am pretty sure they don't do that either.
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December 23rd, 2021, 12:33 PM
#20

Originally Posted by
blasted_saber
Your report gets mixed with every other hunters and it evens out in the melting pot.
Again, they don't care about the actual number. It's a trend of up vs down of years previous
If they don't care about actual numbers, what is the point of the whole exercise. How do you assign the correct number of doe tags for a WMU. I think hunters today with the new technology could be providing accurate numbers.
This reminds me of the mess in managing the Moose herd and even cod fishery.