Trump????

[Oddmott]

It's pretty early for anyone to draw conclusions.

But yes, those that seriously thought the next Hitler is what the majority of the american population wants, are f***ing nuts.

[trimmer21]

It's pretty early for anyone to draw conclusions.

But yes, those that seriously thought the next Hitler is what the majority of the american population wants, are f***ing nuts.

Yep,but,the scary thing is the following this guy has. When he can score as high as he did in a Conservative state like Iowa,even though he came in second,just wait until he gets into "red neck country",to the deep south and south-west,all bets will be off. At this point, I still doubt Republicans can win in November no matter whom they choose because The Democrats will have a lock on everything that's wrong with America and Republicans are the face of the "big business" demon.

[MarkB]

I think people are over-rating his loss in Iowa. Cruz got 27.6% and he got 24.3%. They will split the number of delegates
from Iowa going to the National Convention proportionally. Last election there were 28 delegates from Iowa. So Cruz will
have 1 or 2 more delegates than Trump coming from Iowa. Who cares?!? Iowa only makes up 1% of the delegate population
at the national convention.

I'm not siding with Trump. I think they're all not to be trusted. But the news (as usual) is making a big deal out of nothing, to fulfill agendas.

[Sharon]

How are delegate numbers going to the Convention decided on per State?
One would think the candidate chosen to run for President would be well know before the Convention based on caucus choices.( I know caucus' vary from State to State - some allow only party members to vote and some allow all State citizens.)

[MarkB]

Based on an extensive google search I did yesterday trying to figure all this out, it seems the parties decide the number of delegates per state based on numerous criteria including population, and support for that party in a particular state. Whatever the number is, the delegates get split by proportion. If there's a split, then you can have a coin toss for a particular individual (say you get 50/50 split and have 7 delegates, 3 go one way, 3 go another and the 1 is decided in some places by coin toss).

In the end once you've tallied up all the caucus and primary votes, you basically know who's going to get elected. But here's the crux. Someone might drop out if they see they're not in contention. So who takes those votes? Also, campaigners can go to a non-popular state and spend little time, and move on quick to spend more time in the next state that votes where he/she knows he can gather much more support.

So many possibilities, no one can say Cruz or Trump will take it until key elections like Super Tuesday. That's when I think 12 states have primary elections (different to caucus votes), and a lot of info comes in. It's a complicated, evolving election process. And here you have some news agencies declaring Trump a total loss - they are literally talking about Cruz getting 1 or 2 more delegates, when the national convention will see thousands of delegates.

[The Phoenix]

I kind of like Cruz, maybe he will be a good president watch this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quOw4dI4Apw

[Hunter John]

I kinda like Cruz as well but he is a little too churchy for my liking but I am sure that has appeal for many.

[Sharon]

Based on an extensive google search I did yesterday trying to figure all this out, it seems the parties decide the number of delegates per state based on numerous criteria including population, and support for that party in a particular state. Whatever the number is, the delegates get split by proportion. If there's a split, then you can have a coin toss for a particular individual (say you get 50/50 split and have 7 delegates, 3 go one way, 3 go another and the 1 is decided in some places by coin toss).

In the end once you've tallied up all the caucus and primary votes, you basically know who's going to get elected. But here's the crux. Someone might drop out if they see they're not in contention. So who takes those votes? Also, campaigners can go to a non-popular state and spend little time, and move on quick to spend more time in the next state that votes where he/she knows he can gather much more support.

So many possibilities, no one can say Cruz or Trump will take it until key elections like Super Tuesday. That's when I think 12 states have primary elections (different to caucus votes), and a lot of info comes in. It's a complicated, evolving election process. And here you have some news agencies declaring Trump a total loss - they are literally talking about Cruz getting 1 or 2 more delegates, when the national convention will see thousands of delegates.

Thanks

[trimmer21]

If Trump and Rubio stay in the race along with Cruz and the standings stay roughly the same throughout all the caucuses,by the time they get to the convention and divvy up the delegates,even if Trump is seriously behind the other two,with his extra delegates,it could still make him the "KIng Maker." Now,that's a scary thought.

[Roe+]

After Tuesday nights results, the Democratic primaries are now very much a 2 horse race with Sanders showing in Iowa. It will come down to whether or not he can maintain the pace. He is mobilizing the young vote who are easily brainwashed by socialists as was evident in our recent federal election. With Hillary's baggage, it could get interesting, but she has Bill in her corner and I'm sure he's looking forward to a new crop of interns especially since he can get Cuban cigars now.

Going into New Hampshire, Trump has a commanding lead in the poles, but we'll see how that transforms into actual votes. Going forward, Cruz will do well in the Bible belt, Trump should be popular with the rednecks and ultra right wingers, Rubio and Carson will fight it out for 3rd and 4th and will likely become power brokers. Carson could do well with the black vote in the south.

All in all, they are the most interesting primaries in a while.

Roe+